Class 10 Maths Probability MCQ

Class 10 Mathematics

Chapter 14 – Probability Question Bank


A. Multiple Choice Questions (MCQs)

1.

The theoretical probability of an event EE is given by:

(A) Total outcomesFavourable outcomes\dfrac{\text{Total outcomes}}{\text{Favourable outcomes}}

(B) Favourable outcomesTotal possible outcomes\dfrac{\text{Favourable outcomes}}{\text{Total possible outcomes}}

(C) Favourable outcomes+Total outcomes\text{Favourable outcomes}+\text{Total outcomes}

(D) Total outcomesFavourable outcomes\text{Total outcomes}-\text{Favourable outcomes}

Answer: (B)


2.

The probability of an impossible event is:

(A) 11

(B) 1-1

(C) 00

(D) 12\dfrac12

Answer: (C)


3.

The probability of a sure event is:

(A) 00

(B) 12\dfrac12

(C) 11

(D) 22

Answer: (C)


4.

Which of the following can be the probability of an event?

(A) 0.4-0.4

(B) 1.31.3

(C) 34\dfrac34

(D) 2-2

Answer: (C)


5.

A fair die is thrown once. The probability of getting a number greater than 44 is:

(A) 16\dfrac16

(B) 13\dfrac13

(C) 12\dfrac12

(D) 23\dfrac23

Answer: (B)


6.

A fair die is thrown once. The probability of getting a number less than or equal to 44 is:

(A) 13\dfrac13

(B) 12\dfrac12

(C) 23\dfrac23

(D) 56\dfrac56

Answer: (C)


7.

IfP(E)=0.27,P(E)=0.27,

then P(E)P(\overline E) is:

(A) 0.270.27

(B) 0.630.63

(C) 0.730.73

(D) 1.271.27

Answer: (C)


8.

A bag contains 33 blue, 22 white and 44 red marbles. The probability of drawing a white marble is:

(A) 29\dfrac29

(B) 13\dfrac13

(C) 49\dfrac49

(D) 27\dfrac27

Answer: (A)


9.

One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 5252 cards. The probability of getting an ace is:

(A) 152\dfrac1{52}

(B) 452\dfrac4{52}

(C) 113\dfrac1{13}

(D) Both (B) and (C)

Answer: (D)


10.

The probability of drawing a card that is not an ace from a standard deck is:

(A) 113\dfrac1{13}

(B) 413\dfrac4{13}

(C) 1213\dfrac{12}{13}

(D) 452\dfrac4{52}

Answer: (C)


11.

Two fair coins are tossed simultaneously. The number of equally likely outcomes is:

(A) 22

(B) 33

(C) 44

(D) 66

Answer: (C)


12.

Two fair coins are tossed simultaneously. The probability of getting at least one head is:

(A) 14\dfrac14

(B) 12\dfrac12

(C) 34\dfrac34

(D) 11

Answer: (C)


13.

Two fair dice are thrown together. The total number of ordered outcomes is:

(A) 1212

(B) 1818

(C) 3636

(D) 7272

Answer: (C)


14.

When two dice are thrown, the number of outcomes giving a sum of 88 is:

(A) 44

(B) 55

(C) 66

(D) 88

Answer: (B)


15.

The probability of getting a sum of 1313 when two standard dice are thrown is:

(A) 00

(B) 136\dfrac1{36}

(C) 113\dfrac1{13}

(D) 11

Answer: (A)


16.

IfP(E)=0.05,P(E)=0.05,

then P(E)P(\overline E) is:

(A) 0.050.05

(B) 0.500.50

(C) 0.950.95

(D) 1.051.05

Answer: (C)


17.

A class has 2525 girls and 1515 boys. One student is selected randomly. The probability of selecting a girl is:

(A) 58\dfrac58

(B) 38\dfrac38

(C) 2515\dfrac{25}{15}

(D) 12\dfrac12

Answer: (A)


18.

A die is thrown once. Which of the following is an impossible event?

(A) Getting an even number

(B) Getting a number less than 77

(C) Getting 88

(D) Getting a prime number

Answer: (C)


19.

A die is thrown once. Which of the following is a sure event?

(A) Getting 66

(B) Getting an odd number

(C) Getting a number less than 77

(D) Getting a number greater than 66

Answer: (C)


20.

Which of the following statements is correct?

(A) P(E)>1P(E)>1 is possible.

(B) P(E)<0P(E)<0 is possible.

(C) 0P(E)10\leq P(E)\leq1

(D) Every event has probability 12\dfrac12.

Answer: (C)


B. Fill in the Blanks

1.

The theoretical probability of an event EE is the ratio of the number of ________ outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes.

Answer: favourable


2.

The probability of an impossible event is ________.

Answer: 00


3.

The probability of a sure event is ________.

Answer: 11


4.

For every event EE,0P(E)0\leq P(E)\leq\underline{\hspace{1.5cm}}

Answer: 11


5.

The event representing “not EE” is called the ________ of EE.

Answer: complement


6.

P(E)+P(E)=P(E)+P(\overline E)=\underline{\hspace{1.5cm}}

Answer: 11


7.

An event having only one outcome is called an ________ event.

Answer: elementary


8.

A fair coin has ________ equally likely outcomes.

Answer: 22


9.

A standard die has ________ possible outcomes.

Answer: 66


10.

When two dice are thrown together, there are ________ ordered outcomes.

Answer: 3636


11.

A standard deck contains ________ cards.

Answer: 5252


12.

A standard deck contains ________ aces.

Answer: 44


13.

The probability of getting a head when a fair coin is tossed once is ________.

Answer: 12\dfrac12


14.

The probability of getting a number greater than 44 on a fair die is ________.

Answer: 13\dfrac13


15.

The sum of the probabilities of all elementary events of an experiment is ________.

Answer: 11


C. True or False

1.

The probability of an event can be greater than 11.

Answer: False

2.

The probability of an impossible event is 00.

Answer: True

3.

The probability of a certain event is 11.

Answer: True

4.

All outcomes of every experiment are necessarily equally likely.

Answer: False

5.

For a fair coin, head and tail are equally likely.

Answer: True

6.

For a standard die, getting 88 is an impossible event.

Answer: True

7.

For a standard die, getting a number less than 77 is a sure event.

Answer: True

8.

P(E)+P(E)=1P(E)+P(\overline E)=1

Answer: True

9.

When two dice are thrown, there are 1111 equally likely outcomes because the possible sums are 2,3,,122,3,\ldots,12.

Answer: False

10.

The ordered pairs (1,4)(1,4) and (4,1)(4,1) represent the same outcome.

Answer: False

11.

An elementary event contains exactly one outcome.

Answer: True

12.

A probability of 0.2-0.2 is possible.

Answer: False


D. Match the Following

Column AColumn B
1. Impossible event(a) 11
2. Sure event(b) 12\dfrac12
3. Head on a fair coin(c) 00
4. Complement of EE(d) 1P(E)1-P(E)
5. Range of probability(e) 0P(E)10\leq P(E)\leq1

Answers

1(c),2(a),3(b),4(d),5(e)1-(c),\quad 2-(a),\quad 3-(b),\quad 4-(d),\quad 5-(e)


E. Very Short Answer Questions

1.

What are equally likely outcomes?

Answer: Outcomes that have the same chance of occurring.


2.

What is an elementary event?

Answer: An event containing only one outcome.


3.

What is an impossible event?

Answer: An event that cannot occur.


4.

What is a sure event?

Answer: An event that must occur.


5.

What is the complement of an event EE?

Answer: The event in which EE does not occur.


6.

Write the range of probability.

Answer:0P(E)10\leq P(E)\leq1


7.

Write the formula for the probability of the complement of EE.

Answer:P(E)=1P(E)P(\overline E)=1-P(E)


8.

How many possible outcomes are there when one die is thrown?

Answer: 66


9.

How many ordered outcomes are possible when two dice are thrown?

Answer: 3636


10.

What is the probability of obtaining 88 on a standard die?

Answer:0\boxed{0}


F. Short Answer Questions

1.

A fair coin is tossed once. Find the probability of getting a head and the probability of getting a tail.

Solution:

The possible outcomes areH, TH,\ T

Therefore,P(H)=12P(H)=\frac12

andP(T)=12P(T)=\frac12

Answer:P(H)=P(T)=12\boxed{P(H)=P(T)=\frac12}


2.

A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting:

(i) a number greater than 44

(ii) a number less than or equal to 44.

Solution:

Possible outcomes:1,2,3,4,5,61,2,3,4,5,6

For a number greater than 44, favourable outcomes are5,65,6

Hence,P(>4)=26=13P(>4)=\frac26=\boxed{\frac13}

For a number less than or equal to 44, favourable outcomes are1,2,3,41,2,3,4

Hence,P(4)=46=23P(\leq4)=\frac46=\boxed{\frac23}


3.

A bag contains 55 red balls and 33 blue balls. One ball is drawn at random. Find the probability that it is:

(i) red

(ii) blue.

Solution:

Total number of balls:5+3=85+3=8

Therefore,P(red)=58P(\text{red})=\frac58

andP(blue)=38P(\text{blue})=\frac38

Answer:58, 38\boxed{\frac58,\ \frac38}


4.

IfP(E)=0.38,P(E)=0.38,

find P(E)P(\overline E).

Solution:P(E)=1P(E)P(\overline E)=1-P(E)=10.38=1-0.38=0.62=\boxed{0.62}


5.

A box contains 66 green and 44 yellow marbles. Find the probability of not drawing a yellow marble.

Solution:

Not yellow means green.P(not yellow)=610P(\text{not yellow}) =\frac6{10}=35=\boxed{\frac35}


6.

A standard deck of 5252 cards is well shuffled. Find the probability of drawing:

(i) an ace

(ii) a non-ace.

Solution:

There are 44 aces.P(ace)=452=113P(\text{ace})=\frac4{52} =\boxed{\frac1{13}}

There are524=4852-4=48

non-aces.P(non-ace)=4852=1213P(\text{non-ace}) =\frac{48}{52} =\boxed{\frac{12}{13}}


7.

A class contains 4040 students, of whom 2525 are girls and 1515 are boys. One student is selected randomly. Find the probability of selecting a boy.

Solution:P(boy)=1540P(\text{boy})=\frac{15}{40}=38=\boxed{\frac38}


8.

Two coins are tossed simultaneously. List all possible outcomes.

Answer:(H,H), (H,T), (T,H), (T,T)(H,H),\ (H,T),\ (T,H),\ (T,T)


9.

Two coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting exactly one head.

Solution:

Favourable outcomes are(H,T), (T,H)(H,T),\ (T,H)

Therefore,P(exactly one head)=24=12P(\text{exactly one head}) =\frac24 =\boxed{\frac12}


10.

Two dice are thrown together. Find the probability that their sum is 88.

Solution:

Favourable outcomes are(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2)(2,6),\ (3,5),\ (4,4),\ (5,3),\ (6,2)

Thus, there are 55 favourable outcomes.

Total outcomes:6×6=366\times6=36

Therefore,P(sum=8)=536P(\text{sum}=8) =\boxed{\frac5{36}}


G. Application-Based Questions

1. Selection of a Student

A class contains 4848 students. Of these, 2828 are girls and 2020 are boys. One student is selected randomly.

Find:

(i) P(girl)P(\text{girl})

(ii) P(boy)P(\text{boy})

(iii) Verify that the two probabilities add up to 11.

Solution:P(girl)=2848=712P(\text{girl})=\frac{28}{48} =\frac7{12}P(boy)=2048=512P(\text{boy})=\frac{20}{48} =\frac5{12}

Now,712+512=1\frac7{12}+\frac5{12}=1

Hence verified.


2. Marble Box

A box contains 77 red, 55 blue and 88 green marbles. One marble is selected at random.

Find:

(i) P(red)P(\text{red})

(ii) P(blue)P(\text{blue})

(iii) P(green)P(\text{green})

(iv) P(not green)P(\text{not green})

Solution:

Total marbles:7+5+8=207+5+8=20

Therefore,P(red)=720P(\text{red})=\frac7{20}P(blue)=520=14P(\text{blue})=\frac5{20}=\frac14P(green)=820=25P(\text{green})=\frac8{20}=\frac25

Using the complement:P(not green)=125=35P(\text{not green}) =1-\frac25 =\boxed{\frac35}


3. Two Dice

Two standard dice are thrown together. Find the probability that the sum is:

(i) 55

(ii) 1010

(iii) 1313

(iv) less than or equal to 1212.

Solution:

Total possible outcomes:6×6=366\times6=36

(i) Sum =5=5

Favourable outcomes:(1,4),(2,3),(3,2),(4,1)(1,4),(2,3),(3,2),(4,1)

Hence,P(sum=5)=436=19P(\text{sum}=5) =\frac4{36} =\boxed{\frac19}

(ii) Sum =10=10

Favourable outcomes:(4,6),(5,5),(6,4)(4,6),(5,5),(6,4)

Therefore,P(sum=10)=336=112P(\text{sum}=10) =\frac3{36} =\boxed{\frac1{12}}

(iii) Sum =13=13

The greatest possible sum is6+6=126+6=12

Therefore,P(sum=13)=0\boxed{P(\text{sum}=13)=0}

(iv) Sum 12\leq12

Every possible sum satisfies this condition.

Therefore,P(sum12)=1\boxed{P(\text{sum}\leq12)=1}


4. Selection of a Card

One card is drawn from a standard deck of 5252 cards. Find the probability of getting:

(i) a red card

(ii) a black card

(iii) a king

(iv) a red face card.

Solution:

There are 2626 red cards and 2626 black cards.P(red)=2652=12P(\text{red})=\frac{26}{52} =\boxed{\frac12}P(black)=2652=12P(\text{black})=\frac{26}{52} =\boxed{\frac12}

There are 44 kings.P(king)=452=113P(\text{king})=\frac4{52} =\boxed{\frac1{13}}

There are 66 red face cards.P(red face card)=652=326P(\text{red face card}) =\frac6{52} =\boxed{\frac3{26}}


H. Assertion–Reason Questions

For each question, choose the correct option:

(A) Both Assertion and Reason are true, and Reason correctly explains Assertion.

(B) Both Assertion and Reason are true, but Reason does not correctly explain Assertion.

(C) Assertion is true, but Reason is false.

(D) Assertion is false, but Reason is true.


1.

Assertion: The probability of an impossible event is 00.

Reason: An impossible event has no favourable outcome.

Answer: (A)


2.

Assertion: The probability of a sure event is 11.

Reason: Every possible outcome is favourable to a sure event.

Answer: (A)


3.

Assertion:P(E)=1P(E)P(\overline E)=1-P(E)

Reason: EE and E\overline E are complementary events.

Answer: (A)


4.

Assertion: The probability of an event may be 1.41.4.

Reason: Probability always lies between 00 and 11.

Answer: (D)


5.

Assertion: When two dice are thrown, there are 3636 equally likely ordered outcomes.

Reason: Each die has 66 possible outcomes.

Answer: (A)


6.

Assertion: The sums 2,3,,122,3,\ldots,12 are all equally likely when two dice are thrown.

Reason: There are 1111 different possible sums.

Answer: (D)


I. Case-Based Questions

Case Study 1 — Marbles

A box contains 44 red, 33 blue and 55 green marbles. One marble is selected randomly.

Questions

1. What is the total number of marbles?

(A) 1010

(B) 1212

(C) 1414

(D) 1515

Answer: (B)


2. Find the probability of selecting a red marble.

Solution:P(red)=412=13P(\text{red})=\frac4{12} =\boxed{\frac13}


3. Find the probability of selecting a blue marble.

Solution:P(blue)=312=14P(\text{blue})=\frac3{12} =\boxed{\frac14}


4. Find the probability of not selecting a green marble.

Solution:P(not green)=1512=712P(\text{not green}) =1-\frac5{12} =\boxed{\frac7{12}}


5. What is the sum of the probabilities of selecting a red, blue or green marble?

Answer:1\boxed{1}


Case Study 2 — Two Dice

Two standard dice are thrown simultaneously.

Questions

1. How many ordered outcomes are possible?

Answer:6×6=366\times6=\boxed{36}


2. Write the favourable outcomes for obtaining a sum of 44.

Answer:(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)(1,3),\ (2,2),\ (3,1)


3. Find the probability of obtaining a sum of 44.

Solution:P(sum=4)=336=112P(\text{sum}=4) =\frac3{36} =\boxed{\frac1{12}}


4. What is the probability of obtaining a sum greater than 1212?

Answer:0\boxed{0}


5. What is the probability of obtaining a sum less than or equal to 1212?

Answer:1\boxed{1}


Case Study 3 — Cards

One card is drawn from a well-shuffled standard deck.

Questions

1. How many cards are there in the deck?

Answer:52\boxed{52}


2. How many aces are there?

Answer:4\boxed{4}


3. Find the probability of drawing an ace.

Solution:P(ace)=452=113P(\text{ace}) =\frac4{52} =\boxed{\frac1{13}}


4. Find the probability of not drawing an ace.

Solution:P(not ace)=1113=1213P(\text{not ace}) =1-\frac1{13} =\boxed{\frac{12}{13}}


5. Why can the theoretical probability formula be applied here?

Answer: Because a well-shuffled deck makes each card equally likely to be drawn.


J. Higher-Order Thinking Questions

1.

A student says:

“When two dice are thrown, the possible sums are 22 to 1212. Therefore, there are 1111 possible outcomes and each has probability 111\dfrac1{11}.”

Do you agree? Give a reason.

Answer: No. The different sums are not equally likely. Different sums can be obtained in different numbers of ways. Therefore, we must consider the 3636 equally likely ordered outcomes.


2.

A student says:

“When two coins are tossed, the possible outcomes are HH, TT and HT. Therefore, each outcome has probability 13\dfrac13.”

Is the statement correct? Explain.

Answer: No. The four equally likely outcomes are(H,H), (H,T), (T,H), (T,T)(H,H),\ (H,T),\ (T,H),\ (T,T)

The outcomes HTHT and THTH are distinct ordered outcomes.


3.

The probability of an event EE is 0.350.35. Find the probability that EE does not occur.

Solution:P(E)=1P(E)P(\overline E)=1-P(E)=10.35=1-0.35=0.65=\boxed{0.65}


4.

A student obtainsP(E)=98P(E)=\frac98

for an event. Is this answer possible? Give a reason.

Answer: No. Since0P(E)1,0\leq P(E)\leq1,

98>1\frac98>1, so it cannot be a probability.


5.

A die is thrown once. A student says that the probability of getting an even number is 12\dfrac12. Is the answer correct? Explain.

Answer: Yes. The favourable outcomes are2,4,62,4,6

out of 66 possible outcomes.

Therefore,P(even)=36=12P(\text{even})=\frac36=\boxed{\frac12}


K. Mixed Revision Questions

1.

Find the probability of getting a tail when a fair coin is tossed once.12\boxed{\frac12}


2.

Find the probability of getting a number less than 77 when a standard die is thrown.1\boxed{1}


3.

Find the probability of getting 99 when a standard die is thrown.0\boxed{0}


4.

IfP(E)=0.45,P(E)=0.45,

find P(E)P(\overline E).0.55\boxed{0.55}


5.

A bag contains 33 red and 77 blue balls. Find the probability of drawing a red ball.310\boxed{\frac3{10}}


6.

A box contains 55 red, 44 white and 66 green marbles. Find the probability of drawing a green marble.615=25\boxed{\frac6{15}=\frac25}


7.

A standard deck of 5252 cards is used. Find the probability of drawing a king.452=113\boxed{\frac4{52}=\frac1{13}}


8.

Two coins are tossed. Find the probability of getting two tails.14\boxed{\frac14}


9.

Two dice are thrown. Find the probability of getting a sum of 77.

Favourable outcomes:(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)

Therefore,P(sum=7)=636=16P(\text{sum}=7) =\frac6{36} =\boxed{\frac16}


10.

Two dice are thrown. Find the probability of getting a sum of 22.

Favourable outcome:(1,1)(1,1)

Therefore,P(sum=2)=136P(\text{sum}=2) =\boxed{\frac1{36}}


L. Important Exam Practice — Without Solutions

1.

A bag contains 66 red balls and 44 blue balls. One ball is drawn at random. Find the probability of drawing:

(i) a red ball

(ii) a blue ball.


2.

A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting:

(i) an odd number

(ii) a prime number

(iii) a number greater than 33

(iv) a number less than 66.


3.

IfP(E)=0.72,P(E)=0.72,

find P(E)P(\overline E).


4.

A box contains 55 red, 88 white and 44 green marbles. One marble is selected randomly. Find the probability that it is:

(i) red

(ii) white

(iii) not green.


5.

One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 5252 cards. Find the probability of getting:

(i) a king

(ii) a face card

(iii) a red face card

(iv) a spade.


6.

Two coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting:

(i) two heads

(ii) two tails

(iii) exactly one head

(iv) at least one head.


7.

Two dice are thrown simultaneously. Find the probability that the sum is:

(i) 66

(ii) 88

(iii) 1010

(iv) 1212

(v) 1313.


8.

A class has 4040 students, of whom 2424 are girls and 1616 are boys. One student is selected randomly. Find:

(i) P(girl)P(\text{girl})

(ii) P(boy)P(\text{boy})

(iii) Verify thatP(girl)+P(boy)=1.P(\text{girl})+P(\text{boy})=1.


9.

A standard die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting a number:

(i) greater than 44

(ii) less than or equal to 44.

Also verify that the two probabilities are complementary.


10.

Two dice are thrown. A student claims that every possible sum from 22 to 1212 has probability 111\dfrac1{11}. Examine the claim and explain the error.


Final Formula Box

For quick revision:P(E)=Number of favourable outcomesNumber of all possible outcomes\boxed{ P(E)= \frac{\text{Number of favourable outcomes}} {\text{Number of all possible outcomes}} }0P(E)1\boxed{0\leq P(E)\leq1}P(impossible event)=0\boxed{P(\text{impossible event})=0}P(sure event)=1\boxed{P(\text{sure event})=1}P(E)=1P(E)\boxed{P(\overline E)=1-P(E)}P(E)+P(E)=1\boxed{P(E)+P(\overline E)=1}Sum of probabilities of all elementary events=1\boxed{\text{Sum of probabilities of all elementary events}=1}

These are the central results emphasized in the uploaded chapter.

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Yes. I’ll write the Probability chapter notes in the same clean mathematical format—proper equations, fractions, symbols, examples, and copy-paste-friendly headings, rather than computer-style text.

Class 10 Mathematics

Chapter 14 – Probability

Complete Chapter Notes


1. Introduction to Probability

Probability is a measure of the chance or likelihood of an event occurring.

For example:

  • When a coin is tossed, it may show a Head or a Tail.
  • When a die is thrown, it may show any number from 11 to 66.
  • When a card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck, different cards have different chances of being selected.

Probability helps us describe these chances mathematically.


2. Random Experiment

An experiment in which the outcome cannot be predicted with certainty in advance is called a random experiment.

Examples

1. Tossing a coin.

Possible outcomes:H, TH,\ T

2. Throwing a die.

Possible outcomes:1,2,3,4,5,61,2,3,4,5,6

3. Drawing one card from a well-shuffled deck.

The particular card drawn cannot be predicted beforehand.


3. Outcome

An outcome is a possible result of a random experiment.

Example

When a die is thrown, the possible outcomes are:1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 61,\ 2,\ 3,\ 4,\ 5,\ 6

Each of these is an outcome.


4. Sample Space

The collection of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is called its sample space.

It is usually denoted by SS.

Example 1: Tossing a Coin

The sample space isS={H,T}S=\{H,T\}

Therefore, the number of possible outcomes isn(S)=2n(S)=2

Example 2: Throwing a Die

S={1,2,3,4,5,6}S=\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}

Therefore,n(S)=6n(S)=6


5. Equally Likely Outcomes

Outcomes are said to be equally likely if each outcome has the same chance of occurring.

Example

For a fair coin:P(H)=P(T)=12P(H)=P(T)=\frac12

Therefore, Head and Tail are equally likely outcomes.

Similarly, for a fair die:P(1)=P(2)==P(6)=16P(1)=P(2)=\cdots=P(6)=\frac16

Thus, all six outcomes are equally likely.


6. Event

An event is a collection of one or more outcomes of a random experiment.

An event is generally denoted by a capital letter such as EE, AA, or BB.

Example

When a die is thrown, let EE be the event of getting an even number.

Then,E={2,4,6}E=\{2,4,6\}

The favourable outcomes are:2, 4, 62,\ 4,\ 6

Therefore,n(E)=3n(E)=3


7. Favourable Outcomes

The outcomes which satisfy the condition of a given event are called its favourable outcomes.

Example

A die is thrown once.

Let EE be the event of getting a number greater than 44.

Possible outcomes:1,2,3,4,5,61,2,3,4,5,6

Favourable outcomes:5,65,6

Therefore,Number of favourable outcomes=2\text{Number of favourable outcomes}=2


8. Theoretical Probability

When all possible outcomes of an experiment are equally likely, the probability of an event EE is given byP(E)=Number of favourable outcomesTotal number of possible outcomes\boxed{ P(E)= \frac{\text{Number of favourable outcomes}} {\text{Total number of possible outcomes}} }

orP(E)=n(E)n(S)\boxed{ P(E)=\frac{n(E)}{n(S)} }

where:

  • n(E)n(E) = number of favourable outcomes
  • n(S)n(S) = total number of possible outcomes.

9. Important Example – Tossing a Coin

A fair coin is tossed once.

The sample space isS={H,T}S=\{H,T\}

Therefore,n(S)=2n(S)=2

Probability of getting Head

There is one favourable outcome.n(H)=1n(H)=1

Hence,P(H)=12P(H)=\frac12

Probability of getting Tail

Similarly,P(T)=12P(T)=\frac12

Therefore,P(H)+P(T)=12+12=1P(H)+P(T) = \frac12+\frac12 =1


10. Probability of an Event in a Die Experiment

A fair die is thrown once.

The sample space isS={1,2,3,4,5,6}S=\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}

Therefore,n(S)=6n(S)=6

Example

Find the probability of getting an even number.

The favourable outcomes areE={2,4,6}E=\{2,4,6\}

Thus,n(E)=3n(E)=3

Therefore,P(E)=36P(E)=\frac36P(E)=12\boxed{P(E)=\frac12}


11. Impossible Event

An event which cannot occur is called an impossible event.

The probability of an impossible event is0\boxed{0}

Example

A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting 88.

Since a standard die has only the numbers1,2,3,4,5,6,1,2,3,4,5,6,

getting 88 is impossible.

Therefore,P(8)=0\boxed{P(8)=0}


12. Sure Event

An event which must occur is called a sure event or certain event.

The probability of a sure event is1\boxed{1}

Example

A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting a number less than 77.

Every possible outcome is less than 77:1,2,3,4,5,61,2,3,4,5,6

Therefore,P(number<7)=66P(\text{number}<7) =\frac66P(number<7)=1\boxed{P(\text{number}<7)=1}


13. Range of Probability

For every event EE,0P(E)1\boxed{0\leq P(E)\leq1}

This means:

  • Probability can never be negative.
  • Probability can never be greater than 11.

Important

P(E)=0P(E)=0

represents an impossible event.P(E)=1P(E)=1

represents a sure event.

For an event that may or may not occur,0<P(E)<10<P(E)<1


14. Elementary Event

An event containing only one outcome is called an elementary event.

Example

A die is thrown once.

The event of getting 33 isE={3}E=\{3\}

It contains only one outcome.

Therefore, EE is an elementary event.

Its probability isP(E)=16P(E)=\frac16


15. Complementary Events

If EE is an event, then the event that EE does not occur is called the complement of EE.

The complement of EE is denoted byE\overline E

or sometimes EE’.

For complementary events,P(E)+P(E)=1\boxed{ P(E)+P(\overline E)=1 }

Therefore,P(E)=1P(E)\boxed{ P(\overline E)=1-P(E) }

andP(E)=1P(E)\boxed{ P(E)=1-P(\overline E) }


16. Example of Complementary Events

IfP(E)=0.35,P(E)=0.35,

find P(E)P(\overline E).

UsingP(E)=1P(E),P(\overline E)=1-P(E),

we getP(E)=10.35P(\overline E)=1-0.35P(E)=0.65\boxed{P(\overline E)=0.65}


17. Probability of “Not” an Event

Many probability questions contain words such as:

  • not
  • does not occur
  • other than
  • neither
  • without

These often indicate the complement of an event.

Example

A die is thrown once. Find the probability of not getting a 66.

Probability of getting 66:P(6)=16P(6)=\frac16

Therefore,P(not 6)=116P(\text{not }6) = 1-\frac1656\boxed{\frac56}


18. Tossing Two Coins

When two coins are tossed simultaneously, the possible ordered outcomes are(H,H), (H,T), (T,H), (T,T)(H,H),\ (H,T),\ (T,H),\ (T,T)

Thus,n(S)=4n(S)=4

All four outcomes are equally likely when the coins are fair.


Example: Probability of Getting Two Heads

Only one outcome gives two heads:(H,H)(H,H)

Therefore,P(two heads)=14P(\text{two heads}) = \frac1414\boxed{\frac14}


Example: Probability of Getting Exactly One Head

The favourable outcomes are(H,T), (T,H)(H,T),\ (T,H)

Therefore,P(exactly one head)=24P(\text{exactly one head}) = \frac2412\boxed{\frac12}


Example: Probability of Getting At Least One Head

The outcomes containing at least one head are(H,H), (H,T), (T,H)(H,H),\ (H,T),\ (T,H)

Therefore,P(at least one head)=34P(\text{at least one head}) = \frac3434\boxed{\frac34}


19. Throwing Two Dice

When two standard dice are thrown together, each die has 66 possible outcomes.

Therefore, the total number of ordered outcomes is6×6=366\times6=36

Thus,n(S)=36\boxed{n(S)=36}

The outcomes can be represented by ordered pairs:(1,1),(1,2),,(6,6)(1,1),(1,2),\ldots,(6,6)

The first number represents the result on the first die and the second number represents the result on the second die.


20. Important Point About Two Dice

When two dice are thrown, the sums are not equally likely.

For example, a sum of 22 can occur only in one way:(1,1)(1,1)

But a sum of 77 can occur in six ways:(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)

Therefore,P(sum=2)=136P(\text{sum}=2)=\frac1{36}

whereasP(sum=7)=636=16P(\text{sum}=7)=\frac6{36} =\frac16

Hence, the different sums do not have equal probabilities.


21. Example – Sum of Two Dice is 8

Two dice are thrown together. Find the probability that the sum is 88.

The favourable outcomes are(2,6),(3,5),(4,4),(5,3),(6,2)(2,6),(3,5),(4,4),(5,3),(6,2)

Therefore,n(E)=5n(E)=5

Total outcomes:n(S)=36n(S)=36

Hence,P(E)=536P(E)=\frac5{36}P(sum=8)=536\boxed{P(\text{sum}=8)=\frac5{36}}


22. Example – Sum of Two Dice is 7

The favourable outcomes are(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)

Thus,n(E)=6n(E)=6

Therefore,P(sum=7)=636P(\text{sum}=7) = \frac6{36}16\boxed{\frac16}


23. Impossible and Sure Events with Two Dice

The smallest possible sum when two dice are thrown is1+1=21+1=2

and the largest possible sum is6+6=126+6=12

Therefore:

Sum greater than 1212

This is impossible.P(sum>12)=0\boxed{P(\text{sum}>12)=0}

Sum less than or equal to 1212

This is certain.P(sum12)=1\boxed{P(\text{sum}\leq12)=1}


24. Cards

A standard deck contains52 cards\boxed{52\text{ cards}}

The deck contains:

  • 44 suits
  • 1313 cards in each suit
  • 2626 red cards
  • 2626 black cards
  • 44 aces
  • 44 kings
  • 44 queens
  • 44 jacks

The face cards are:J, Q, KJ,\ Q,\ K

There are 1212 face cards in total.


25. Probability of Drawing an Ace

There are 44 aces in a deck of 5252 cards.

Therefore,P(ace)=452P(\text{ace}) = \frac4{52}P(ace)=113\boxed{P(\text{ace})=\frac1{13}}


26. Probability of Not Drawing an Ace

There are 4848 non-ace cards.

Therefore,P(not ace)=4852P(\text{not ace}) = \frac{48}{52}P(not ace)=1213\boxed{P(\text{not ace})=\frac{12}{13}}

Alternatively,P(not ace)=1113=1213P(\text{not ace}) = 1-\frac1{13} = \frac{12}{13}


27. Probability of Drawing a Red Card

There are 2626 red cards.

Therefore,P(red card)=2652P(\text{red card}) = \frac{26}{52}12\boxed{\frac12}

Similarly,P(black card)=2652=12P(\text{black card}) = \frac{26}{52} = \boxed{\frac12}


28. Experimental Probability

Probability can also be estimated from actual observations.

If an experiment is performed nn times and an event EE occurs rr times, then its experimental probability isP(E)=rn\boxed{ P(E)=\frac{r}{n} }

where:

  • rr = number of times the event occurs
  • nn = total number of trials.

29. Example of Experimental Probability

Suppose a coin is tossed 100100 times and Head occurs 5656 times.

Then the experimental probability of getting Head isP(H)=56100P(H)=\frac{56}{100}P(H)=0.56\boxed{P(H)=0.56}

This is an experimental estimate based on the actual trials.


30. Theoretical Probability vs Experimental Probability

Theoretical Probability

It is calculated using the possible outcomes of an experiment.P(E)=Favourable outcomesTotal possible outcomes\boxed{ P(E)= \frac{\text{Favourable outcomes}} {\text{Total possible outcomes}} }

Experimental Probability

It is calculated from actual observations.P(E)=Number of times the event occursNumber of trials\boxed{ P(E)= \frac{\text{Number of times the event occurs}} {\text{Number of trials}} }

Experimental probability may vary from one set of trials to another.


31. Important Properties of Probability

For an event EE:

Property 1

0P(E)1\boxed{0\leq P(E)\leq1}

Property 2

For an impossible event:P(E)=0\boxed{P(E)=0}

Property 3

For a sure event:P(E)=1\boxed{P(E)=1}

Property 4

For the complement of EE:P(E)=1P(E)\boxed{P(\overline E)=1-P(E)}

Property 5

For complementary events:P(E)+P(E)=1\boxed{P(E)+P(\overline E)=1}


32. How to Solve Probability Questions

Follow these steps:

Step 1: Identify the experiment

For example:

  • coin
  • die
  • cards
  • selection of an object

Step 2: Find the total number of possible outcomes

Write the sample space or calculate its size.

Step 3: Identify favourable outcomes

Select the outcomes that satisfy the given condition.

Step 4: Apply the formula

P(E)=n(E)n(S)P(E)=\frac{n(E)}{n(S)}

Step 5: Simplify the answer

Write the probability in its simplest form.


33. Common Mistakes to Avoid

Mistake 1: Probability greater than 11

An answer such as54\frac54

cannot be a probability becauseP(E)1P(E)\leq1


Mistake 2: Negative probability

An answer such as12-\frac12

is impossible becauseP(E)0P(E)\geq0


Mistake 3: Counting sums instead of outcomes

For two dice, the possible sums are2,3,,122,3,\ldots,12

but these 1111 sums are not equally likely.

The equally likely outcomes are the 3636 ordered pairs.


Mistake 4: Treating HTHT and THTH as one outcome

For two coin tosses,(H,T)(T,H)(H,T)\neq(T,H)

when outcomes are recorded in order.

Therefore, there are four equally likely outcomes:(H,H),(H,T),(T,H),(T,T)(H,H),(H,T),(T,H),(T,T)


34. Quick Revision Table

ConceptImportant Result
Probability0P(E)10\leq P(E)\leq1
Impossible eventP(E)=0P(E)=0
Sure eventP(E)=1P(E)=1
Theoretical probabilityP(E)=n(E)n(S)\displaystyle P(E)=\frac{n(E)}{n(S)}
ComplementP(E)=1P(E)\displaystyle P(\overline E)=1-P(E)
Complementary eventsP(E)+P(E)=1\displaystyle P(E)+P(\overline E)=1
Fair coinP(H)=P(T)=12P(H)=P(T)=\frac12
One die66 outcomes
Two dice3636 ordered outcomes
Standard deck5252 cards
Aces44
Red cards2626
Black cards2626

35. Formula Sheet

Theoretical Probability

P(E)=n(E)n(S)\boxed{ P(E)=\frac{n(E)}{n(S)} }

Complement

P(E)=1P(E)\boxed{ P(\overline E)=1-P(E) }

Sum of Complementary Probabilities

P(E)+P(E)=1\boxed{ P(E)+P(\overline E)=1 }

Probability Range

0P(E)1\boxed{ 0\leq P(E)\leq1 }

Impossible Event

P(E)=0\boxed{ P(E)=0 }

Sure Event

P(E)=1\boxed{ P(E)=1 }

Experimental Probability

P(E)=Number of times event occursTotal number of trials\boxed{ P(E)= \frac{\text{Number of times event occurs}} {\text{Total number of trials}} }


36. One-Minute Revision

Remember these six points before the examination:

  1. Probability measures the chance of an event occurring.
  2. For equally likely outcomes,

P(E)=Favourable outcomesTotal outcomesP(E)=\frac{\text{Favourable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}}

  1. Probability always lies between 00 and 11:

0P(E)10\leq P(E)\leq1

  1. Impossible event:

P(E)=0P(E)=0

  1. Sure event:

P(E)=1P(E)=1

  1. Complementary event:

P(E)=1−P(E)